Key Facts
• August 19: LDP held its first meeting of the “Presidential Election Management Committee.”
• August 8: Decision made to consider advancing the presidential election timeline.
• Ishiba’s term as LDP president is set to end in September 2027.
• Jiji Press poll (August 8–11): Cabinet approval rose 6.5 points to 27.3%.
• NHK poll (August 9–11): Approval increased 7 points to 38%; disapproval dropped 8 points to 45%.
• Asahi Shimbun poll (August 16–17): Approval rose 7 points to 36%; disapproval fell 6 points to 50%.
• LDP supporters favor Ishiba’s continuation: 65.9% (Jiji), 69% (NHK), 76% (Asahi).
• Ishiba’s resignation opposition exceeds support: 39.9% vs. 36.9% (Jiji).
• Upcoming diplomatic events: African Development Conference (August 20–22), UN General Assembly (September 9–29).
• Party insiders suggest “Ishiba ousting” momentum is waning due to public indifference.
Summary
Amid rising approval ratings for Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, the possibility of his continuation as LDP president has grown, despite earlier calls for his resignation following the party’s poor performance in the Upper House elections. Recent polls show increased public and party support for Ishiba, with approval ratings climbing across multiple surveys. LDP supporters overwhelmingly favor his continuation, while calls for his resignation have diminished. The party’s internal dynamics appear to lack the momentum to force Ishiba’s resignation, with public interest in the political maneuvering waning. Upcoming diplomatic engagements further solidify Ishiba’s position, as the likelihood of advancing the presidential election remains uncertain.
