Key Facts
• The 26-year LDP-Komeito coalition ended abruptly in 2025.
• 80% of Komeito supporters approved the coalition’s dissolution (survey: Oct 11-12, 2025).
• Soka Gakkai members face challenges in elections due to LDP scandals.
• LDP’s illicit funding scandal weakened the “friend votes” system.
• Soka Gakkai’s influence declined after the 2023 death of Honorary Chairman Daisaku Ikeda.
• Members view LDP figures Taro Aso and Toshimitsu Motegi as anti-Komeito.
• Aso previously called Komeito a “cancer,” causing lasting resentment among members.
• Soka Gakkai’s election-focused structure complicates opposition party alliances.
• Analysts warn of Soka Gakkai’s potential collapse without significant reforms.
Summary
The dissolution of the 26-year LDP-Komeito coalition has left Komeito supporters in a complex position. While 80% approve of the split, Soka Gakkai members face election challenges due to LDP scandals, including an illicit funding issue that undermined the “friend votes” system. The death of Honorary Chairman Daisaku Ikeda in 2023 further weakened the group’s influence. Surprisingly, members are less critical of LDP leader Sanae Takaichi and more concerned about Taro Aso and Toshimitsu Motegi, known for their anti-Komeito stance. Aso’s past remark labeling Komeito a “cancer” has left a lasting impact. Soka Gakkai’s election-centric structure also hinders collaboration with opposition parties. Experts caution that without significant reforms, the organization risks losing its relevance entirely.
